Real Pilar v Arsenal Sarandi Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultArsenal Sarandi to win ✗43% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.44

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.60

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.48

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.69

Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Real Pilar v Arsenal Sarandi in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza. In the table, Real Pilar are 7th, upper half, on 66 points after 42 matches; Arsenal Sarandi are 2nd (among the top four) with 77.

Current form

Real Pilar, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Argentino de Merlo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Arsenal Sarandi, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over UAI Urquiza, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Pilar 0.9 xG, Arsenal Sarandi 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Real Pilar 31%, draw 26%, Arsenal Sarandi 43%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Arsenal Sarandi to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Pilar 0–1 Arsenal Sarandi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Pilar31%fair 3.22 · @3.00

Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.60

Arsenal Sarandi43%fair 2.35 · @2.50

2.01Expected goals

0.89Real Pilar xG

1.12Arsenal Sarandi xG

48%Both score

33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%

0–013%

1–113%

1–012%

0–28%

1–27%

From our goals model: Real Pilar 0.9 – 1.1 Arsenal Sarandi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Arsenal Sarandi to win ✗	43%	2.35	2.50 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.36	1.44 ▲
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	52%	1.91	1.60
Draw no bet	Arsenal Sarandi (draw no bet) ✗	58%	1.73	–
Asian handicap	Real Pilar +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	60%	1.68	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	67%	1.48	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	86%	1.17	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	95%	1.06	–
First team to score	Arsenal Sarandi to score first ✗	48%	2.08	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	50%	2.01	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Arsenal Sarandi / FT Arsenal Sarandi ✗	23%	4.38	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	15%	6.69	–

Real Pilar – last 6

WLDWWD

12 Sep	@ Argentino de Merlo	1–0	W
5 Sep	vs Talleres Remedios	0–2	L
29 Aug	@ Deportivo Laferrere	1–1	D
25 Aug	vs Brown DE Adrogue	2–0	W
22 Aug	@ Deportivo Armenio	1–0	W
15 Aug	vs Flandria	0–0	D

0.8Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Arsenal Sarandi – last 6

WWWWDL

12 Sep	vs UAI Urquiza	2–0	W
5 Sep	@ Villa Dalmine	1–0	W
29 Aug	vs Excursionistas	3–0	W
25 Aug	vs Ituzaingó	2–0	W
22 Aug	@ Argentino de Merlo	0–0	D
15 Aug	vs Talleres Remedios	0–1	L

1.3Scored / game

0.2Conceded / game

0%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi?

On our numbers Real Pilar have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Arsenal Sarandi 43%.

How many goals will there be in Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Our predicted score is Real Pilar 0–1 Arsenal Sarandi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Real Pilar vs Arsenal Sarandi (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Real Pilar v Arsenal Sarandi: numbers & prediction