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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UAI Urquiza v Excursionistas: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Monumental de Villa Lynch
1–2
FT
UAI Urquiza 14%Draw 25%Excursionistas 61% Expected goals 0.48 – 1.38
61%
Betarazi pick

Excursionistas to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultExcursionistas to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.67

UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 19 September the Primera B Metropolitana brings UAI Urquiza against Excursionistas at Monumental de Villa Lynch. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, UAI Urquiza are 21st, in the drop zone, on 45 points after 42 matches; Excursionistas are 1st (leading the league) with 81. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

UAI Urquiza, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Arsenal Sarandi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Excursionistas, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Villa Dalmine, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Excursionistas, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for UAI Urquiza.

Head to head

When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Excursionistas 0–0 UAI Urquiza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UAI Urquiza 0.5 xG, Excursionistas 1.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UAI Urquiza 14%, draw 25%, Excursionistas 61%.
  • Lower-risk option: Excursionistas or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Excursionistas to win (61%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: UAI Urquiza 0–1 Excursionistas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UAI Urquiza14%fair 6.97 · @4.60
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.88
Excursionistas61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
1.86Expected goals
0.48UAI Urquiza xG
1.38Excursionistas xG
46%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–121%
0–016%
0–215%
1–110%
1–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: UAI Urquiza 0.5 – 1.4 Excursionistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultExcursionistas to win ✓61%1.651.85 ▲
Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✓86%1.171.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.861.60
Draw no betExcursionistas (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapUAI Urquiza +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓55%1.80–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreExcursionistas to score first62%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Excursionistas / FT Excursionistas ✗35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21%4.67–

Recent results

UAI Urquiza – last 6

LWLLDL
12 Sep@ Arsenal Sarandi0–2L
6 Sepvs Argentino de Merlo2–0W
29 Aug@ Talleres Remedios0–1L
25 Augvs Deportivo Laferrere0–2L
21 Aug@ Brown DE Adrogue1–1D
16 Augvs Deportivo Armenio0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Excursionistas – last 6

WWLWWW
13 Sepvs Villa Dalmine3–0W
8 Sepvs Ituzaingó2–1W
29 Aug@ Arsenal Sarandi0–3L
26 Augvs Argentino de Merlo2–0W
22 Aug@ Talleres Remedios2–1W
15 Augvs Deportivo Laferrere5–3W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 May 2026Excursionistas v UAI Urquiza0–0
UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas?

Our pick is Excursionistas to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas?

On our numbers UAI Urquiza have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Excursionistas 61%.

How many goals will there be in UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas?

Our predicted score is UAI Urquiza 0–1 Excursionistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas?

UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Monumental de Villa Lynch.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.