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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Villa Dalmine v Ituzaingó: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini
3–1
FT
Villa Dalmine 69%Draw 23%Ituzaingó 9% Expected goals 1.54 – 0.35
69%
Betarazi pick

Villa Dalmine to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultVilla Dalmine to win ✓69% · @1.40
Double chanceVilla Dalmine or draw ✓91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.29

Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ituzaingó travel to face Villa Dalmine on Saturday 19 September in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Villa Dalmine are 6th, upper half, on 68 points after 42 matches; Ituzaingó are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 51 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Villa Dalmine, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Excursionistas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Ituzaingó, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Comunicaciones, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Villa Dalmine, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Ituzaingó.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Villa Dalmine 1.5 xG, Ituzaingó 0.3 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Dalmine 69%, draw 23%, Ituzaingó 9%.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Villa Dalmine to win (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Dalmine 1–0 Ituzaingó. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Villa Dalmine69%fair 1.46 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.70
Ituzaingó9%fair 11.21 · @8.00
1.89Expected goals
1.54Villa Dalmine xG
0.35Ituzaingó xG
44%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–023%
2–018%
0–015%
3–09%
1–18%
2–16%

From our goals model: Villa Dalmine 1.5 – 0.3 Ituzaingó expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVilla Dalmine to win ✓69%1.461.40
Double chanceVilla Dalmine or draw ✓91%1.101.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.781.44
Draw no betVilla Dalmine (draw no bet) ✓88%1.13–
Asian handicapVilla Dalmine -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓56%1.77–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71%1.42–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.05–
First team to scoreVilla Dalmine to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Villa Dalmine / FT Villa Dalmine ✓42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23%4.29–

Recent results

Villa Dalmine – last 6

LLDDWW
13 Sep@ Excursionistas0–3L
5 Sepvs Arsenal Sarandi0–1L
30 Aug@ Argentino de Merlo0–0D
25 Augvs Talleres Remedios0–0D
21 Aug@ Deportivo Laferrere2–0W
15 Augvs Brown DE Adrogue1–0W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ituzaingó – last 6

DLLLDD
11 Sepvs Comunicaciones2–2D
8 Sep@ Excursionistas1–2L
29 Augvs Dock Sud0–2L
25 Aug@ Arsenal Sarandi0–2L
22 Augvs Deportivo Merlo0–0D
15 Aug@ Argentino de Merlo1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Villa Dalmine and Ituzaingó.

Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó?

Our pick is Villa Dalmine to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó?

On our numbers Villa Dalmine have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ituzaingó 9%.

How many goals will there be in Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó?

Our predicted score is Villa Dalmine 1–0 Ituzaingó, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó?

Villa Dalmine vs Ituzaingó (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.