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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arsenal Sarandi v San Martín Burzaco: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
Arsenal Sarandi 66%Draw 22%San Martín Burzaco 11% Expected goals 1.58 – 0.46
66%
Betarazi pick

Arsenal Sarandi to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultArsenal Sarandi to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceArsenal Sarandi or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.86

Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Arsenal Sarandi v San Martín Burzaco in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona. In the table, Arsenal Sarandi are 2nd, among the top four, on 77 points after 42 matches; San Martín Burzaco are 12th (lower half) with 51. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Arsenal Sarandi, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Villa San Carlos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

San Martín Burzaco, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Argentino de Merlo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended San Martín Burzaco 2–0 Arsenal Sarandi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Sarandi 1.6 xG, San Martín Burzaco 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Sarandi 66%, draw 22%, San Martín Burzaco 11%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Arsenal Sarandi to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Sarandi 1–0 San Martín Burzaco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arsenal Sarandi66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
San Martín Burzaco11%fair 8.91 · @7.00
2.04Expected goals
1.58Arsenal Sarandi xG
0.46San Martín Burzaco xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%
2–016%
0–013%
1–19%
3–09%
2–17%

From our goals model: Arsenal Sarandi 1.6 – 0.5 San Martín Burzaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal Sarandi to win ✓66%1.511.44
Double chanceArsenal Sarandi or draw ✓89%1.131.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.911.57
Draw no betArsenal Sarandi (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapArsenal Sarandi -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreArsenal Sarandi to score first ✗68%1.48–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal Sarandi / FT Arsenal Sarandi ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21%4.86–

Recent results

Arsenal Sarandi – last 6

LWLWWW
3 Oct@ Villa San Carlos0–1L
26 Sepvs Liniers2–0W
19 Sep@ Real Pilar1–2L
12 Sepvs UAI Urquiza2–0W
5 Sep@ Villa Dalmine1–0W
29 Augvs Excursionistas3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

San Martín Burzaco – last 6

WLWWDL
3 Octvs Argentino de Merlo2–1W
26 Sep@ Talleres Remedios2–3L
19 Sepvs Deportivo Laferrere2–1W
12 Sep@ Brown DE Adrogue2–0W
5 Sepvs Deportivo Armenio0–0D
30 Aug@ Flandria0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026San Martín Burzaco v Arsenal Sarandi2–0
Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco?

Our pick is Arsenal Sarandi to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco?

On our numbers Arsenal Sarandi have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Martín Burzaco 11%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco?

Our predicted score is Arsenal Sarandi 1–0 San Martín Burzaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco?

Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.