Excursionistas 65%Draw 20%Villa San Carlos 15%Expected goals 1.61 – 0.56
65%
Betarazi pick
Excursionistas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultExcursionistas to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.45
Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Villa San Carlos travel to face Excursionistas on Saturday 10 October in the Primera B Metropolitana, with Excursionistas Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Excursionistas are 1st, leading the league, on 81 points after 42 matches; Villa San Carlos are 11th (upper half) with 51. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Excursionistas, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Liniers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Villa San Carlos, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Arsenal Sarandi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Excursionistas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Villa San Carlos.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Villa San Carlos 0–2 Excursionistas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Excursionistas 1.6 xG, Villa San Carlos 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Excursionistas 65%, draw 20%, Villa San Carlos 15%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Excursionistas to win (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excursionistas 1–0 Villa San Carlos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Excursionistas65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.50
Villa San Carlos15%fair 6.63 · @7.00
2.17Expected goals
1.61Excursionistas xG
0.56Villa San Carlos xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Excursionistas 1.6 – 0.6 Villa San Carlos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos?
Our pick is Excursionistas to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos?
On our numbers Excursionistas have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Villa San Carlos 15%.
How many goals will there be in Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos?
Our predicted score is Excursionistas 1–0 Villa San Carlos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos?
Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
