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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ituzaingó v Argentino Quilmes: numbers & prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio Carlos Sacaan
2–2
FT
Ituzaingó 15%Draw 25%Argentino Quilmes 60% Expected goals 0.56 – 1.47
60%
Betarazi pick

Argentino Quilmes to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultArgentino Quilmes to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceArgentino Quilmes or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.18

Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Ituzaingó v Argentino Quilmes in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Estadio Carlos Sacaan. In the table, Ituzaingó are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 42 matches; Argentino Quilmes are 17th (lower half) with 47. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ituzaingó, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to UAI Urquiza, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Argentino Quilmes, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Defensores Unidos, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Argentino Quilmes, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Ituzaingó.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Jun 2026) it ended Argentino Quilmes 2–0 Ituzaingó.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ituzaingó 0.6 xG, Argentino Quilmes 1.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ituzaingó 15%, draw 25%, Argentino Quilmes 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Argentino Quilmes or draw (85%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Argentino Quilmes to win (60%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ituzaingó 0–1 Argentino Quilmes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ituzaingó15%fair 6.75 · @4.33
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.90
Argentino Quilmes60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
2.03Expected goals
0.56Ituzaingó xG
1.47Argentino Quilmes xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–119%
0–214%
0–013%
1–111%
1–28%
1–07%

From our goals model: Ituzaingó 0.6 – 1.5 Argentino Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArgentino Quilmes to win ✗60%1.661.85 ▲
Double chanceArgentino Quilmes or draw ✓85%1.171.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.881.62
Draw no betArgentino Quilmes (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapItuzaingó +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreArgentino Quilmes to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Argentino Quilmes / FT Argentino Quilmes ✗36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19%5.18–

Recent results

Ituzaingó – last 6

LLLDLL
5 Oct@ UAI Urquiza2–3L
25 Sepvs Defensores Unidos0–1L
19 Sep@ Villa Dalmine1–3L
11 Sepvs Comunicaciones2–2D
8 Sep@ Excursionistas1–2L
29 Augvs Dock Sud0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Argentino Quilmes – last 6

DDDWLL
3 Oct@ Defensores Unidos1–1D
27 Sepvs Comunicaciones0–0D
20 Sep@ Dock Sud0–0D
13 Sepvs Deportivo Merlo1–0W
6 Sep@ Deportivo Camioneros0–1L
29 Augvs Sportivo Italiano0–2L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Jun 2026Argentino Quilmes v Ituzaingó2–0
Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes head-to-head page →

Primera B Metropolitana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Excursionistas422499+3681
2Arsenal Sarandi4221147+2877
3Sportivo Italiano42201210+1572
4Talleres Remedios42201111+1971
5Deportivo Camioneros42191310+1570
6Villa Dalmine42181410+1268
7Real Pilar42181212+466
8Deportivo Armenio42171213+363
9Comunicaciones42151512+560
10Deportivo Laferrere42151413-259
11Villa San Carlos42121515-551
12San Martín Burzaco42121515-651
13Argentino de Merlo42131118-650
14Flandria42131019-1049
15Deportivo Merlo42111615-1549
16Liniers42111516-748
17Argentino Quilmes42101715-847
18Dock Sud42111417-947
19Defensores Unidos42101616-646
20Brown DE Adrogue42101616-1246
21UAI Urquiza4282113-1045
22Ituzaingó4211427-4117

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes?

Our pick is Argentino Quilmes to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes?

On our numbers Ituzaingó have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Argentino Quilmes 60%.

How many goals will there be in Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes?

Our predicted score is Ituzaingó 0–1 Argentino Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes?

Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Sacaan.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.