Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Laferrere to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceDeportivo Laferrere or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Primera B Metropolitana brings Deportivo Laferrere against Deportivo Merlo at Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Laferrere are 10th, upper half, on 59 points after 42 matches; Deportivo Merlo are 15th (lower half) with 49.
Current form
Deportivo Laferrere, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo Camioneros, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Deportivo Merlo, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Brown DE Adrogue, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Jun 2026) it ended Deportivo Merlo 2–1 Deportivo Laferrere.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Laferrere 1.7 xG, Deportivo Merlo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Laferrere 59%, draw 24%, Deportivo Merlo 17%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Laferrere or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Laferrere to win (59%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Laferrere 1–0 Deportivo Merlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Laferrere59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Deportivo Merlo17%fair 5.92 · @4.40
2.41Expected goals
1.65Deportivo Laferrere xG
0.76Deportivo Merlo xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Laferrere 1.7 – 0.8 Deportivo Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo?
Our pick is Deportivo Laferrere to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo?
On our numbers Deportivo Laferrere have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Merlo 17%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Laferrere 1–0 Deportivo Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo?
Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
