Real Pilar v Ituzaingó Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultReal Pilar to win ✗70% · @1.36

Double chanceReal Pilar or draw ✓91% · @1.05

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.40

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.15

Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Real Pilar v Ituzaingó in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza. In the table, Real Pilar are 7th, upper half, on 66 points after 42 matches; Ituzaingó are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 49 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Real Pilar, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to UAI Urquiza, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Ituzaingó, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Argentino Quilmes, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Real Pilar, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Ituzaingó.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Jun 2026) it ended Ituzaingó 2–0 Real Pilar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Pilar 1.8 xG, Ituzaingó 0.4 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Real Pilar 70%, draw 21%, Ituzaingó 9%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Pilar to win (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Pilar 1–0 Ituzaingó. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Pilar70%fair 1.42 · @1.36

Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.70

Ituzaingó9%fair 11.52 · @11.00

2.21Expected goals

1.77Real Pilar xG

0.44Ituzaingó xG

45%Both score

38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%

2–017%

0–011%

3–010%

1–19%

2–18%

From our goals model: Real Pilar 1.8 – 0.4 Ituzaingó expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Real Pilar to win ✗	70%	1.42	1.36
Double chance	Real Pilar or draw ✓	91%	1.10	1.05
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	55%	1.82	1.40
Draw no bet	Real Pilar (draw no bet)	89%	1.12	–
Asian handicap	Real Pilar -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.08	–
First team to score	Real Pilar to score first ✗	71%	1.40	–
Half-time result	Real Pilar ahead at half-time ✗	48%	2.10	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Real Pilar / FT Real Pilar ✗	45%	2.24	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	19%	5.15	–

Real Pilar – last 6

LWLWWL

12 Oct	@ UAI Urquiza	0–1	L
4 Oct	vs Villa Dalmine	2–0	W
26 Sep	@ Excursionistas	0–3	L
19 Sep	vs Arsenal Sarandi	2–1	W
12 Sep	@ Argentino de Merlo	1–0	W
5 Sep	vs Talleres Remedios	0–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Ituzaingó – last 6

DLLLDL

10 Oct	vs Argentino Quilmes	2–2	D
5 Oct	@ UAI Urquiza	2–3	L
25 Sep	vs Defensores Unidos	0–1	L
19 Sep	@ Villa Dalmine	1–3	L
11 Sep	vs Comunicaciones	2–2	D
8 Sep	@ Excursionistas	1–2	L

1.3Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó?

Our pick is Real Pilar to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó?

On our numbers Real Pilar have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ituzaingó 9%.

How many goals will there be in Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó?

Our predicted score is Real Pilar 1–0 Ituzaingó, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó?

Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Real Pilar v Ituzaingó: numbers & prediction

Real Pilar

Ituzaingó

Real Pilar to win

Picks by market

Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Real Pilar – last 6

Ituzaingó – last 6

Head to head

Primera B Metropolitana table

More Primera B Metropolitana predictions

Frequently asked questions