Sportivo Italiano v Arsenal Sarandi Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSportivo Italiano to win ✗39% · @2.62

Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.44

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.97

Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Sportivo Italiano v Arsenal Sarandi in the Primera B Metropolitana, played at Republica de Italia Stadium. In the table, Sportivo Italiano are 3rd, among the top four, on 72 points after 42 matches; Arsenal Sarandi are 2nd (among the top four) with 77.

Current form

Sportivo Italiano, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Argentino de Merlo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Arsenal Sarandi, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over San Martín Burzaco, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Arsenal Sarandi 1–3 Sportivo Italiano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Italiano 1.1 xG, Arsenal Sarandi 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Italiano 39%, draw 28%, Arsenal Sarandi 33%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Arsenal Sarandi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportivo Italiano39%fair 2.56 · @2.62

Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.50

Arsenal Sarandi33%fair 3.01 · @3.00

1.99Expected goals

1.05Sportivo Italiano xG

0.94Arsenal Sarandi xG

46%Both score

32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

0–014%

1–113%

0–113%

2–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Sportivo Italiano 1.1 – 0.9 Arsenal Sarandi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sportivo Italiano to win ✗	39%	2.56	2.62
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	72%	1.38	1.44
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	54%	1.86	1.50
Draw no bet	Sportivo Italiano (draw no bet)	54%	1.85	–
Asian handicap	Arsenal Sarandi +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	59%	1.69	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	95%	1.05	–
First team to score	Sportivo Italiano to score first ✗	46%	2.19	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	50%	2.00	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✓	22%	4.57	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	14%	6.97	–

Sportivo Italiano – last 6

WWWDLW

11 Oct	@ Argentino de Merlo	2–1	W
4 Oct	vs Talleres Remedios	2–0	W
26 Sep	@ Deportivo Laferrere	2–1	W
19 Sep	vs Brown DE Adrogue	0–0	D
12 Sep	@ Deportivo Armenio	0–1	L
5 Sep	vs Flandria	3–1	W

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Arsenal Sarandi – last 6

WLWLWW

10 Oct	vs San Martín Burzaco	3–1	W
3 Oct	@ Villa San Carlos	0–1	L
26 Sep	vs Liniers	2–0	W
19 Sep	@ Real Pilar	1–2	L
12 Sep	vs UAI Urquiza	2–0	W
5 Sep	@ Villa Dalmine	1–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi?

On our numbers Sportivo Italiano have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Arsenal Sarandi 33%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Arsenal Sarandi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Republica de Italia Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sportivo Italiano v Arsenal Sarandi: numbers & prediction