Value bet: Villa Dalmine to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVilla Dalmine to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.58
Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Primera B Metropolitana brings Villa San Carlos against Villa Dalmine at Genacio Salice Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Villa San Carlos are 11th, upper half, on 51 points after 42 matches; Villa Dalmine are 6th (upper half) with 68. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Villa San Carlos, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Excursionistas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Villa Dalmine, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Liniers, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Villa San Carlos, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Villa Dalmine.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Villa Dalmine 0–0 Villa San Carlos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villa San Carlos 0.9 xG, Villa Dalmine 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villa San Carlos 34%, draw 28%, Villa Dalmine 38%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Villa Dalmine to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa San Carlos 0–0 Villa Dalmine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villa San Carlos34%fair 2.91 · @2.75
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.50
Villa Dalmine38%fair 2.63 · @2.80
1.83Expected goals
0.88Villa San Carlos xG
0.95Villa Dalmine xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Villa San Carlos 0.9 – 0.9 Villa Dalmine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine?
On our numbers Villa San Carlos have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Villa Dalmine 38%.
How many goals will there be in Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine?
Our predicted score is Villa San Carlos 0–0 Villa Dalmine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine?
Villa San Carlos vs Villa Dalmine (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Genacio Salice Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
