America Mineiro 64%Draw 21%North Esporte 15%Expected goals 1.83 – 0.72
73%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: America Mineiro to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAmerica Mineiro to win64% · @1.70
Double chanceAmerica Mineiro or draw85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.61
America Mineiro vs North Esporte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Saturday 14 February: America Mineiro v North Esporte in the Mineiro 1.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give America Mineiro 1.8 xG, North Esporte 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – America Mineiro 64%, draw 21%, North Esporte 15%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: America Mineiro to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: America Mineiro 1–0 North Esporte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
America Mineiro64%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.40
North Esporte15%fair 6.79 · @4.75
2.55Expected goals
1.83America Mineiro xG
0.72North Esporte xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: America Mineiro 1.8 – 0.7 North Esporte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America Mineiro to win
64%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
America Mineiro or draw
85%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
America Mineiro (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
America Mineiro -0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
America Mineiro to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
America Mineiro ahead at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America Mineiro / FT America Mineiro
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
America Mineiro
No recent results on record.
North Esporte
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America Mineiro and North Esporte.
What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs North Esporte?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win America Mineiro vs North Esporte?
On our numbers America Mineiro have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and North Esporte 15%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs North Esporte?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs North Esporte?
Our predicted score is America Mineiro 1–0 North Esporte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is America Mineiro vs North Esporte?
America Mineiro vs North Esporte (Mineiro 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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