Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.08
Itabirito vs Atletico-MG: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Saturday 14 February: Itabirito v Atletico-MG in the Mineiro 1, played at Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Itabirito 0.5 xG, Atletico-MG 1.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Itabirito 10%, draw 19%, Atletico-MG 72%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Itabirito 0–1 Atletico-MG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Itabirito10%fair 10.51 · @10.25
Draw19%fair 5.31 · @4.10
Atletico-MG72%fair 1.40 · @1.33
2.47Expected goals
0.53Itabirito xG
1.94Atletico-MG xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–216%
0–310%
1–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Itabirito 0.5 – 1.9 Atletico-MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico-MG to win✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Double chance
Atletico-MG or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.50
Draw no bet
Atletico-MG (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Atletico-MG -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Atletico-MG to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Atletico-MG ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico-MG / FT Atletico-MG✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.08
–
Recent results
Itabirito
No recent results on record.
Atletico-MG
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Itabirito and Atletico-MG.
What is the prediction for Itabirito vs Atletico-MG?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Itabirito vs Atletico-MG?
On our numbers Itabirito have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atletico-MG 72%.
How many goals will there be in Itabirito vs Atletico-MG?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Itabirito vs Atletico-MG?
Our predicted score is Itabirito 0–1 Atletico-MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Itabirito vs Atletico-MG?
Itabirito vs Atletico-MG (Mineiro 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 1 · Brazil · Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes
America Mineiro2
North Esporte1
Athletic Club1
Tombense1
Democrata GV0
Betim1
Uberlandia0
Pouso Alegre2
Uniao Trabalhadores1
Cruzeiro2