Athletic Club vs Tombense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Athletic Club welcome Tombense for a Mineiro 1 fixture on Saturday 14 February (23:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club 1.5 xG, Tombense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club 44%, draw 26%, Tombense 30%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club 1–1 Tombense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Club44%fair 2.29 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.00
Tombense30%fair 3.32 · @3.20
2.58Expected goals
1.47Athletic Club xG
1.11Tombense xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Athletic Club 1.5 – 1.1 Tombense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✗
44%
2.29
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.85
Draw no bet
Athletic Club (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Tombense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Athletic Club to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Athletic Club
No recent results on record.
Tombense
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club and Tombense.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Tombense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Tombense?
On our numbers Athletic Club have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tombense 30%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club vs Tombense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Tombense?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club 1–1 Tombense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club vs Tombense?
Athletic Club vs Tombense (Mineiro 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 1 · Brazil
America Mineiro2
North Esporte1
Democrata GV0
Betim1
Itabirito2
Atletico-MG7
Uberlandia0
Pouso Alegre2
Uniao Trabalhadores1
Cruzeiro2