Value bet: Pouso Alegre to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUberlandia to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Uberlandia vs Pouso Alegre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 February the Mineiro 1 brings Uberlandia against Pouso Alegre. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Uberlandia 1.5 xG, Pouso Alegre 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Uberlandia 43%, draw 23%, Pouso Alegre 34%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Pouso Alegre to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uberlandia 1–1 Pouso Alegre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Uberlandia43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Pouso Alegre34%fair 2.98 · @3.40
2.78Expected goals
1.50Uberlandia xG
1.28Pouso Alegre xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Uberlandia 1.5 – 1.3 Pouso Alegre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Uberlandia to win✗
43%
2.31
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Uberlandia (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Pouso Alegre +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Uberlandia to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Uberlandia / FT Uberlandia✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.22
–
Recent results
Uberlandia
No recent results on record.
Pouso Alegre
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uberlandia and Pouso Alegre.
What is the prediction for Uberlandia vs Pouso Alegre?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Uberlandia vs Pouso Alegre?
On our numbers Uberlandia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pouso Alegre 34%.
How many goals will there be in Uberlandia vs Pouso Alegre?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uberlandia vs Pouso Alegre?
Our predicted score is Uberlandia 1–1 Pouso Alegre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Uberlandia vs Pouso Alegre?
Uberlandia vs Pouso Alegre (Mineiro 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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