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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sportivo Trinidense v Olimpia: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Sportivo Trinidense 23%Draw 24%Olimpia 52% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.59
77%
Betarazi pick

Olimpia or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOlimpia to win ✓52% · @1.84
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62

Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sportivo Trinidense welcome Olimpia to Estadio Defensores del Chaco for a CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture on Thursday 5 March (01:30 WAT).

Current form

Sportivo Trinidense, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to 2 de Mayo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Trinidense 1.1 xG, Olimpia 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Trinidense 23%, draw 24%, Olimpia 52%.
  • Lower-risk option: Olimpia or draw (77%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Olimpia or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Olimpia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportivo Trinidense23%fair 4.30 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.60
Olimpia52%fair 1.91 · @1.84
2.70Expected goals
1.11Sportivo Trinidense xG
1.59Olimpia xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Sportivo Trinidense 1.1 – 1.6 Olimpia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlimpia to win ✓52%1.911.84
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓77%1.301.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.95 ▲
Draw no betOlimpia (draw no bet) ✓69%1.44–
Asian handicapSportivo Trinidense +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.381.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.08
First team to scoreOlimpia to score first ✓55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olimpia / FT Olimpia ✓29%3.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.62–

Recent results

Sportivo Trinidense – last 3

LDD
1 Mar@ 2 de Mayo0–1L
26 Febvs Sportivo Luqueno1–1D
19 Feb@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Olimpia – last 1

W
26 Febvs Libertad Asuncion1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Trinidense and Olimpia.

Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia6411+413
2Vasco DA Gama6312+410
3A. Italiano6213-27
4Barracas Central6033-63

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia?

Our pick is Olimpia or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia?

On our numbers Sportivo Trinidense have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Olimpia 52%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Olimpia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia?

Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.