Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUniversidad de Chile to win ✗60% · @1.64
Double chanceUniversidad de Chile or draw ✗83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Universidad de Chile vs Palestino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Thursday 5 March: Universidad de Chile v Palestino in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, played at Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universidad de Chile 1.9 xG, Palestino 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad de Chile 60%, draw 23%, Palestino 17%.
Lower-risk option: Universidad de Chile or draw (83%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad de Chile 2–0 Palestino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universidad de Chile60%fair 1.67 · @1.64
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.75
Palestino17%fair 5.77 · @5.20
2.90Expected goals
1.94Universidad de Chile xG
0.96Palestino xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Universidad de Chile 1.9 – 1.0 Palestino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad de Chile to win✗
60%
1.67
1.64
Double chance
Universidad de Chile or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Universidad de Chile (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Universidad de Chile -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.09
First team to score
Universidad de Chile to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Universidad de Chile ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad de Chile / FT Universidad de Chile✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Universidad de Chile – last 1
D
23 Feb
vs Deportes Limache
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Palestino – last 2
WL
1 Mar
vs O'Higgins
4–2
W
21 Feb
@ Huachipato
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad de Chile and Palestino.
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile vs Palestino?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Universidad de Chile vs Palestino?
On our numbers Universidad de Chile have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Palestino 17%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad de Chile vs Palestino?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad de Chile vs Palestino?
Our predicted score is Universidad de Chile 2–0 Palestino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Universidad de Chile vs Palestino?
Universidad de Chile vs Palestino (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.