Boston River 35%Draw 27%Racing Montevideo 38%Expected goals 1.18 – 1.18
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRacing Montevideo to win ✗38% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.86
Boston River vs Racing Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Racing Montevideo travel to face Boston River on Thursday 5 March in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, with Estadio Campeones Olimpicos the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Racing Montevideo, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Albion FC, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boston River 1.2 xG, Racing Montevideo 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boston River 35%, draw 27%, Racing Montevideo 38%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boston River 1–1 Racing Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boston River35%fair 2.88 · @2.48
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.15
Racing Montevideo38%fair 2.62 · @2.85
2.36Expected goals
1.18Boston River xG
1.18Racing Montevideo xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Boston River 1.2 – 1.2 Racing Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Montevideo to win✗
38%
2.62
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Racing Montevideo (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Boston River +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Racing Montevideo to score first✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Montevideo / FT Racing Montevideo✗
20%
4.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.86
–
Recent results
Boston River – last 2
DL
28 Feb
@ Cerro
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Danubio
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Racing Montevideo – last 3
WWD
28 Feb
@ Albion FC
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Danubio
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Club Nacional
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boston River and Racing Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Boston River vs Racing Montevideo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Boston River vs Racing Montevideo?
On our numbers Boston River have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Racing Montevideo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Boston River vs Racing Montevideo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boston River vs Racing Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Boston River 1–1 Racing Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Boston River vs Racing Montevideo?
Boston River vs Racing Montevideo (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones Olimpicos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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