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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chelsea v Western Sydney Wanderers: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World · Accor Stadium

Chelsea

LWDLL
6–4
FT

Western Sydney Wanderers

WLLLL
Chelsea 73%Draw 17%Western Sydney Wanderers 11% Expected goals 2.75 – 1.14
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultChelsea to win ✓73% · @1.14
Double chanceChelsea or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35

Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Western Sydney Wanderers travel to face Chelsea on Tuesday 28 July in the Friendlies Clubs, with Accor Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:45 WAT.

Current form

Chelsea, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sunderland, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Western Sydney Wanderers, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cooma Tigers FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chelsea 2.8 xG, Western Sydney Wanderers 1.1 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chelsea 73%, draw 17%, Western Sydney Wanderers 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelsea 2–1 Western Sydney Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chelsea73%fair 1.37 · @1.14
Draw17%fair 6.04 · @7.50
Western Sydney Wanderers11%fair 9.49 · @17.50
3.89Expected goals
2.75Chelsea xG
1.14Western Sydney Wanderers xG
55%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Chelsea 2.8 – 1.1 Western Sydney Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ChelseaWestern Sydney Wanderers
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+31%+25%
Goals conceded vs average+3%+19%
Our expected goals here2.721.29

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelsea to win ✓73%1.371.14
Double chanceChelsea or draw ✓89%1.121.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.801.85
Draw no betChelsea (draw no bet) ✓87%1.14–
Asian handicapChelsea -1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.131.09
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.361.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓54%1.871.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗65%1.531.44
First team to scoreChelsea to score first69%1.44–
Half-time resultChelsea ahead at half-time ✗54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelsea / FT Chelsea ✗49%2.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.35–

Recent results

Chelsea – last 6

LWDLLL
24 May@ Sunderland1–2L
19 Mayvs Tottenham2–1W
9 May@ Liverpool1–1D
4 Mayvs Nottingham Forest1–3L
21 Apr@ Brighton0–3L
17 Marvs Paris Saint Germain0–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Western Sydney Wanderers – last 6

WLLLLL
22 Jul@ Cooma Tigers FC2–0W
25 Aprvs Melbourne Victory0–2L
18 Apr@ Wellington Phoenix1–2L
11 Aprvs Sydney0–2L
4 Apr@ Melbourne City0–3L
20 Marvs Adelaide United2–4L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chelsea and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT NAC Breda3 OFI2 149%1.84X22%3.90229%3.70 1.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Solihull Moors1 Burton Albion1 126%4.33X25%3.70249%1.67 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Morecambe1 AFC Fylde1 136%2.50X23%3.75242%2.25 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Fleetwood Town1 Bolton1 122%6.00X21%5.00257%1.36 1.0–1.5xG 2Bolton to win 57%@1.36 ✗
FT Grimsby5 Lincoln1 132%5.10X22%4.10246%1.53 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT Oldham0 Stockport County1 123%3.70X25%3.60252%1.80 1.1–1.7xG X2Stockport County or draw 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Swindon Town2 Leyton Orient1 131%2.90X23%3.55246%2.10 1.5–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Accrington ST1 Bury0 152%1.50X23%4.50225%4.75 1.3–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.67 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

On our numbers Chelsea have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Western Sydney Wanderers 11%.

How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Chelsea 2–1 Western Sydney Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 10:45 (West Africa Time) at Accor Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.