Accrington ST vs Bury: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Accrington ST welcome Bury for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Tuesday 28 July (19:30 WAT).
Current form
Accrington ST, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Chorley, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 1.3 xG, Bury 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 52%, draw 23%, Bury 25%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 1–1 Bury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Accrington ST52%fair 1.94 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.50
Bury25%fair 3.94 · @4.75
2.34Expected goals
1.31Accrington ST xG
1.03Bury xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.3 – 1.0 Bury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Accrington ST
Bury
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-15%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.33
1.45
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Accrington ST to win✓
52%
1.94
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.67
Draw no bet
Accrington ST (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Bury +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Accrington ST to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Accrington ST / FT Accrington ST✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Accrington ST – last 6
WWDLLW
25 Jul
@ Chorley
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs Bradford
1–0
W
11 Jul
vs Blackburn
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Colchester
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Gillingham
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Crewe
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bury – last 2
WD
11 Jul
@ Chorley
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ Clitheroe
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Bury.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Bury?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bury 25%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Bury?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Bury?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Bury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Bury?
Accrington ST vs Bury (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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