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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Grimsby v Lincoln: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Grimsby

WDDLW
5–1
FT

Lincoln

LWLWW
Grimsby 32%Draw 22%Lincoln 46% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.20
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultLincoln to win ✗46% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.52

Grimsby vs Lincoln: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Grimsby welcome Lincoln for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Tuesday 28 July (19:00 WAT).

Current form

Grimsby, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Hartlepool, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Lincoln, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Leyton Orient, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Lincoln, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Grimsby.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Grimsby 1.4 xG, Lincoln 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Grimsby 32%, draw 22%, Lincoln 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grimsby 1–1 Lincoln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Grimsby32%fair 3.09 · @5.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.10
Lincoln46%fair 2.18 · @1.53
2.63Expected goals
1.43Grimsby xG
1.20Lincoln xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
2–07%
1–27%

From our goals model: Grimsby 1.4 – 1.2 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

GrimsbyLincoln
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+13%-21%
Goals conceded vs average-29%+7%
Our expected goals here2.090.92

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLincoln to win ✗46%2.181.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.681.70
Draw no betLincoln (draw no bet) ✗59%1.71–
Asian handicapLincoln +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.451.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.14–
First team to scoreGrimsby to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Grimsby / FT Grimsby ✓25%4.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.52–

Recent results

Grimsby – last 6

WDDLWL
25 Jul@ Hartlepool3–0W
18 Jul@ Zorya Luhansk1–1D
11 Jul@ Cleethorpes Town0–0D
10 Mayvs Salford City1–2L
21 Apr@ Cambridge United2–1W
14 Apr@ Chesterfield1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lincoln – last 6

LWLWWW
17 Julvs Leyton Orient0–2L
11 Jul@ Boston United1–0W
10 Jul@ Lincoln United1–2L
21 Apr@ Doncaster2–0W
6 Apr@ Reading2–1W
3 Aprvs AFC Wimbledon1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Grimsby and Lincoln.

Grimsby vs Lincoln head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Chelsea6 Western Sydney Wanderers4 173%1.14X17%7.50211%17.50 2.8–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT NAC Breda3 OFI2 149%1.84X22%3.90229%3.70 1.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Solihull Moors1 Burton Albion1 126%4.33X25%3.70249%1.67 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Morecambe1 AFC Fylde1 136%2.50X23%3.75242%2.25 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Fleetwood Town1 Bolton1 122%6.00X21%5.00257%1.36 1.0–1.5xG 2Bolton to win 57%@1.36 ✗
FT Oldham0 Stockport County1 123%3.70X25%3.60252%1.80 1.1–1.7xG X2Stockport County or draw 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Swindon Town2 Leyton Orient1 131%2.90X23%3.55246%2.10 1.5–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Accrington ST1 Bury0 152%1.50X23%4.50225%4.75 1.3–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.67 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grimsby vs Lincoln?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Grimsby vs Lincoln?

On our numbers Grimsby have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lincoln 46%.

How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Lincoln?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grimsby vs Lincoln?

Our predicted score is Grimsby 1–1 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Grimsby vs Lincoln?

Grimsby vs Lincoln (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.