USA 29%Draw 21%Germany 49%Expected goals 1.90 – 1.90
68%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultGermany to win ✓49% · @1.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 13.04
USA vs Germany: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Saturday 6 June: USA v Germany in the Friendlies, played at Soldier Field.
Current form
Germany, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Finland, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give USA 1.9 xG, Germany 1.9 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – USA 29%, draw 21%, Germany 49%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: USA 1–1 Germany. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
USA29%fair 3.40 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.30
Germany49%fair 2.03 · @1.58
3.81Expected goals
1.90USA xG
1.90Germany xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%
From our goals model: USA 1.9 – 1.9 Germany expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
USA
Germany
Attack vs Friendlies average
+37%
+23%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-8%
Our expected goals here
2.14
1.43
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Germany to win✓
49%
2.03
1.58
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.55 ▲
Draw no bet
Germany (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
USA +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.25
First team to score
Germany to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
34%
2.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Germany / FT Germany✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
13.04
–
Recent results
USA – last 2
WL
31 May
vs Senegal
3–2
W
1 Apr
vs Portugal
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Germany – last 3
WWW
31 May
vs Finland
4–0
W
30 Mar
vs Ghana
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Switzerland
4–3
W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USA and Germany.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win USA vs Germany?
On our numbers USA have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Germany 49%.
How many goals will there be in USA vs Germany?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USA vs Germany?
Our predicted score is USA 1–1 Germany, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is USA vs Germany?
USA vs Germany (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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