Rio Branco SP 61%Draw 26%Itapirense 13%Expected goals 1.72 – 0.69
61%
Betarazi pick
Rio Branco SP to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultRio Branco SP to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceRio Branco SP or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.47
Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Wednesday 11 March: Rio Branco SP v Itapirense in the Paulista A3.
Current form
Itapirense, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to EC São Bernardo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rio Branco SP 1.7 xG, Itapirense 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rio Branco SP 61%, draw 26%, Itapirense 13%.
Lower-risk option: Rio Branco SP or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rio Branco SP to win (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rio Branco SP 1–0 Itapirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rio Branco SP61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
Itapirense13%fair 7.63 · @4.10
2.41Expected goals
1.72Rio Branco SP xG
0.69Itapirense xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Rio Branco SP 1.7 – 0.7 Itapirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rio Branco SP to win✓
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Rio Branco SP or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Rio Branco SP (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Rio Branco SP -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Rio Branco SP to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Rio Branco SP ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rio Branco SP / FT Rio Branco SP✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.47
–
Recent results
Rio Branco SP – last 2
LW
4 Mar
@ EC São Bernardo
0–4
L
25 Feb
@ Francana
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Itapirense – last 6
LWDDLL
8 Mar
vs EC São Bernardo
0–3
L
4 Mar
@ Desportivo Brasil
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs União São João
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Rio Claro
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Portuguesa Santista
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Bandeirante SP
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rio Branco SP and Itapirense.
What is the prediction for Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense?
Our pick is Rio Branco SP to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense?
On our numbers Rio Branco SP have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Itapirense 13%.
How many goals will there be in Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense?
Our predicted score is Rio Branco SP 1–0 Itapirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense?
Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense (Paulista A3) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
Rio Claro0
XV de Jau1
Marília2
USAC0
Catanduva0
Desportivo Brasil0
Uniao Barbarense1
Paulista1
União São João2
Francana1