União São João 59%Draw 26%Francana 15%Expected goals 1.52 – 0.72
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnião São João to win ✓59% · @1.48
Double chanceUnião São João or draw ✓85% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.20
União São João vs Francana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Francana travel to face União São João on Wednesday 11 March in the Paulista A3 – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT.
Current form
União São João, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Portuguesa Santista, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Francana, last 4: LLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Portuguesa Santista, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours União São João, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Francana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União São João 1.5 xG, Francana 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União São João 59%, draw 26%, Francana 15%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: União São João 1–0 Francana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União São João59%fair 1.69 · @1.48
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.45
Francana15%fair 6.71 · @7.40
2.24Expected goals
1.52União São João xG
0.72Francana xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: União São João 1.5 – 0.7 Francana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União São João to win✓
59%
1.69
1.48
Double chance
União São João or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.53
Draw no bet
União São João (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Francana +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
União São João to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União São João / FT União São João✓
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.20
–
Recent results
União São João – last 3
WDD
4 Mar
vs Portuguesa Santista
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Itapirense
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Desportivo Brasil
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Francana – last 4
LLDL
8 Mar
@ Portuguesa Santista
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Rio Preto
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Paulista
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs Rio Branco SP
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União São João and Francana.
What is the prediction for União São João vs Francana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win União São João vs Francana?
On our numbers União São João have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Francana 15%.
How many goals will there be in União São João vs Francana?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União São João vs Francana?
Our predicted score is União São João 1–0 Francana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is União São João vs Francana?
União São João vs Francana (Paulista A3) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
Rio Branco SP3
Itapirense2
Rio Claro0
XV de Jau1
Marília2
USAC0
Catanduva0
Desportivo Brasil0
Uniao Barbarense1
Paulista1