Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.15
Marília vs USAC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Wednesday 11 March: Marília v USAC in the Paulista A3, played at Estadio Bento de Abreu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marília 2.0 xG, USAC 0.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 41%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marília 73%, draw 17%, USAC 10%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Marília to win (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marília 1–0 USAC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marília73%fair 1.36 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 6.01 · @4.75
USAC10%fair 9.97 · @10.00
2.50Expected goals
1.97Marília xG
0.52USAC xG
41%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–016%
3–011%
1–18%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Marília 2.0 – 0.5 USAC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marília to win✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Double chance
Marília or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
–
Draw no bet
Marília (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Marília -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Marília to score first✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Marília ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marília / FT Marília✓
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.15
–
Recent results
Marília – last 2
DD
4 Mar
vs Rio Claro
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Catanduva
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
USAC – last 2
LD
4 Mar
@ Uniao Barbarense
0–3
L
25 Feb
vs Bandeirante SP
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marília and USAC.
Our pick is Marília to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Marília vs USAC?
On our numbers Marília have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and USAC 10%.
How many goals will there be in Marília vs USAC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marília vs USAC?
Our predicted score is Marília 1–0 USAC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Marília vs USAC?
Marília vs USAC (Paulista A3) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bento de Abreu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil · Estadio Bento de Abreu
Rio Branco SP3
Itapirense2
Rio Claro0
XV de Jau1
Catanduva0
Desportivo Brasil0
Uniao Barbarense1
Paulista1
União São João2
Francana1