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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tokyo Verdy v Kashiwa Reysol: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Ajinomoto Stadium
1–0
FT
Tokyo Verdy 21%Draw 26%Kashiwa Reysol 53% Expected goals 0.96 – 1.67
79%
Betarazi pick

Kashiwa Reysol or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗53% · @1.95
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:03 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Tokyo Verdy v Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League, played at Ajinomoto Stadium. In the table, Tokyo Verdy are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 18 matches; Kashiwa Reysol are 8th (in the drop zone) with 20.

Current form

Tokyo Verdy, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kashima, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Kashiwa Reysol, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FC Tokyo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tokyo Verdy, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Kashiwa Reysol.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Tokyo Verdy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tokyo Verdy 1.0 xG, Kashiwa Reysol 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tokyo Verdy 21%, draw 26%, Kashiwa Reysol 53%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kashiwa Reysol or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kashiwa Reysol or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tokyo Verdy21%fair 4.73 · @4.10
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.20
Kashiwa Reysol53%fair 1.88 · @1.95
2.63Expected goals
0.96Tokyo Verdy xG
1.67Kashiwa Reysol xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 1.0 – 1.7 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗53%1.881.95
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✗79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.00 ▲
Draw no betKashiwa Reysol (draw no bet) ✗72%1.40–
Asian handicapTokyo Verdy +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.441.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.05
First team to scoreKashiwa Reysol to score first ✗59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol ✗33%3.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

Tokyo Verdy – last 6

WWLLWL
29 Aprvs Kashima2–1W
18 Aprvs JEF United Chiba1–0W
4 Apr@ JEF United Chiba2–3L
18 Marvs Kawasaki Frontale0–2L
14 Marvs Urawa1–0W
7 Mar@ Kashima0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kashiwa Reysol – last 6

LLLLWW
29 Aprvs FC Tokyo1–3L
24 Aprvs Kashima0–1L
19 Apr@ Mito Hollyhock0–2L
11 Apr@ Machida Zelvia0–1L
5 Aprvs Yokohama F. Marinos3–0W
22 Marvs Mito Hollyhock3–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Kashiwa Reysol v Tokyo Verdy1–2
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our pick is Kashiwa Reysol or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?

On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kashiwa Reysol 53%.

How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 06:03 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.