Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Cerezo Osaka to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceCerezo Osaka or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the J1 League brings Cerezo Osaka against Avispa Fukuoka at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. Kick-off: 07:00 WAT. In the table, Cerezo Osaka are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (in the drop zone) with 21.
Current form
Cerezo Osaka, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sanfrecce Hiroshima, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fagiano Okayama, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Avispa Fukuoka 0–2 Cerezo Osaka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerezo Osaka 1.9 xG, Avispa Fukuoka 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerezo Osaka 58%, draw 23%, Avispa Fukuoka 18%.
Lower-risk option: Cerezo Osaka or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Cerezo Osaka to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cerezo Osaka or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerezo Osaka58%fair 1.71 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.45
Avispa Fukuoka18%fair 5.50 · @3.70
2.78Expected goals
1.87Cerezo Osaka xG
0.91Avispa Fukuoka xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.9 – 0.9 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is Cerezo Osaka or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Avispa Fukuoka 18%.
How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tokyo Verdy1
Kashiwa Reysol0
Kashima1
Machida Zelvia1