Value bet: Machida Zelvia to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.63
Kashima vs Machida Zelvia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
08:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Kashima v Machida Zelvia in the J1 League, played at Kashima Soccer Stadium. In the table, Kashima are 1st, leading the league, on 45 points after 18 matches; Machida Zelvia are 3rd (among the top four) with 37.
Current form
Kashima, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tokyo Verdy, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Machida Zelvia, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Machida Zelvia.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Machida Zelvia 0–3 Kashima.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kashima 1.2 xG, Machida Zelvia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kashima 39%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 33%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Machida Zelvia to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashima 1–1 Machida Zelvia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kashima39%fair 2.53 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.20
Machida Zelvia33%fair 3.04 · @3.30
2.41Expected goals
1.21Kashima xG
1.19Machida Zelvia xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Kashima 1.2 – 1.2 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs Machida Zelvia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kashima vs Machida Zelvia?
On our numbers Kashima have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Machida Zelvia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Machida Zelvia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Machida Zelvia?
Our predicted score is Kashima 1–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Machida Zelvia?
Kashima vs Machida Zelvia (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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