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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

V-varen Nagasaki v Fagiano Okayama: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Peace Stadium

V-varen Nagasaki

LWLLL
2–1
FT

Fagiano Okayama

WWLLL
V-varen Nagasaki 36%Draw 27%Fagiano Okayama 37% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.30
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultFagiano Okayama to win ✗37% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.27

V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 6 May the J1 League brings V-varen Nagasaki against Fagiano Okayama at Peace Stadium. Kick-off: 05:03 WAT. In the table, V-varen Nagasaki are 9th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; Fagiano Okayama are 6th (lower half) with 26.

Current form

V-varen Nagasaki, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nagoya Grampus, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Fagiano Okayama, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sanfrecce Hiroshima, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Fagiano Okayama, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for V-varen Nagasaki.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Fagiano Okayama 0–1 V-varen Nagasaki.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give V-varen Nagasaki 1.3 xG, Fagiano Okayama 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – V-varen Nagasaki 36%, draw 27%, Fagiano Okayama 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Fagiano Okayama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

V-varen Nagasaki36%fair 2.76 · @2.65
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.20
Fagiano Okayama37%fair 2.70 · @2.65
2.61Expected goals
1.31V-varen Nagasaki xG
1.30Fagiano Okayama xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: V-varen Nagasaki 1.3 – 1.3 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFagiano Okayama to win ✗37%2.702.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.80 ▲
Draw no betFagiano Okayama (draw no bet) ✗51%1.98–
Asian handicapFagiano Okayama +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.341.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.07
First team to scoreV-varen Nagasaki to score first ✓46%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT V-varen Nagasaki / FT V-varen Nagasaki ✓21%4.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.27–

Recent results

V-varen Nagasaki – last 6

LWLLLW
3 Mayvs Nagoya Grampus1–2L
29 Apr@ Shimizu S-pulse2–1W
18 Apr@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–2L
11 Apr@ Avispa Fukuoka0–1L
5 Aprvs Shimizu S-pulse0–3L
21 Mar@ Fagiano Okayama1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Fagiano Okayama – last 6

WWLLLW
2 Mayvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–0W
25 Aprvs Avispa Fukuoka2–0W
11 Apr@ Kyoto Sanga1–5L
5 Aprvs Vissel Kobe1–4L
21 Marvs V-varen Nagasaki0–1L
18 Mar@ Cerezo Osaka2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Mar 2026Fagiano Okayama v V-varen Nagasaki0–1
V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub
– Shimizu S-pulse1 Cerezo Osaka1 Pens 5–3 134%2.50X25%3.50242%2.65 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
– Avispa Fukuoka1 Kyoto Sanga1 Pens 4–4 130%3.10X27%3.20243%2.33 1.1–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Nagoya Grampus2 Gamba Osaka1 137%2.45X24%3.45239%2.70 1.5–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓
FT FC Tokyo0 JEF United Chiba3 169%1.50X20%4.10210%6.40 2.2–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓
– Sanfrecce Hiroshima1 Vissel Kobe1 Pens 4–4 145%2.10X25%3.40230%3.30 1.6–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Kashima3 Mito Hollyhock0 163%1.68X21%3.60216%5.00 2.1–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓
FT Machida Zelvia2 Yokohama F. Marinos0 157%1.77X26%3.55217%4.50 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.33 ✓
FT Kawasaki Frontale1 Tokyo Verdy0 150%2.10X24%3.35226%3.45 1.8–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama?

On our numbers V-varen Nagasaki have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fagiano Okayama 37%.

How many goals will there be in V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our predicted score is V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama?

V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 05:03 (West Africa Time) at Peace Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.