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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Avispa Fukuoka v Kyoto Sanga: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Best Denki Stadium
1–1
–Pens 4–4
Avispa Fukuoka 30%Draw 27%Kyoto Sanga 43% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.46
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultKyoto Sanga to win ✗43% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.04

Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Wednesday 6 May: Avispa Fukuoka v Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League, played at Best Denki Stadium. In the table, Avispa Fukuoka are 10th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; Kyoto Sanga are 8th (in the drop zone) with 23. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fagiano Okayama, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Kyoto Sanga, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shimizu S-pulse, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Avispa Fukuoka, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Kyoto Sanga.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Kyoto Sanga 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Avispa Fukuoka 1.1 xG, Kyoto Sanga 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Avispa Fukuoka 30%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Kyoto Sanga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Avispa Fukuoka30%fair 3.33 · @3.10
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.20
Kyoto Sanga43%fair 2.32 · @2.33
2.56Expected goals
1.10Avispa Fukuoka xG
1.46Kyoto Sanga xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 1.1 – 1.5 Kyoto Sanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKyoto Sanga to win ✗43%2.322.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.921.85
Draw no betKyoto Sanga (draw no bet)59%1.70–
Asian handicapAvispa Fukuoka +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.07
First team to scoreKyoto Sanga to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kyoto Sanga / FT Kyoto Sanga ✗27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.04–

Recent results

Avispa Fukuoka – last 6

LWWWLL
25 Apr@ Fagiano Okayama0–2L
22 Apr@ Gamba Osaka2–1W
11 Aprvs V-varen Nagasaki1–0W
5 Apr@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–0W
15 Mar@ V-varen Nagasaki0–1L
7 Marvs Nagoya Grampus1–5L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kyoto Sanga – last 6

LLWLWL
2 Mayvs Shimizu S-pulse1–2L
18 Apr@ Cerezo Osaka0–3L
11 Aprvs Fagiano Okayama5–1W
4 Apr@ Gamba Osaka0–2L
18 Mar@ V-varen Nagasaki2–1W
14 Marvs Cerezo Osaka1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Kyoto Sanga v Avispa Fukuoka2–0
Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga?

On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kyoto Sanga 43%.

How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Kyoto Sanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.