Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✓63% · @1.68
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kashima welcome Mito Hollyhock to Kashima Soccer Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Wednesday 6 May (08:00 WAT). In the table, Kashima are 1st, leading the league, on 45 points after 18 matches; Mito Hollyhock are 9th (in the drop zone) with 18. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kashima, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tokyo Verdy, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Mito Hollyhock, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to FC Tokyo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Mito Hollyhock.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kashima 2.1 xG, Mito Hollyhock 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kashima 63%, draw 21%, Mito Hollyhock 16%.
Lower-risk option: Kashima or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashima 2–0 Mito Hollyhock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kashima63%fair 1.59 · @1.68
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.60
Mito Hollyhock16%fair 6.27 · @5.00
2.93Expected goals
2.10Kashima xG
0.83Mito Hollyhock xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Kashima 2.1 – 0.8 Mito Hollyhock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
63%
1.59
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Kashima (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Kashima -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.09
First team to score
Kashima to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Kashima – last 6
LWWWWW
29 Apr
@ Tokyo Verdy
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
18 Apr
vs Urawa
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Machida Zelvia
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock – last 6
LWLWLD
24 Apr
@ FC Tokyo
2–5
L
19 Apr
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Kashiwa Reysol
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Urawa
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Machida Zelvia
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and Mito Hollyhock.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
On our numbers Kashima have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mito Hollyhock 16%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our predicted score is Kashima 2–0 Mito Hollyhock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock?
Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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