Cobresal 20%Draw 24%Universidad de Chile 56%Expected goals 0.99 – 1.82
80%
Betarazi pick
Universidad de Chile or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Universidad de Chile to win @ 1.94 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUniversidad de Chile to win ✗56% · @1.94
Double chanceUniversidad de Chile or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Cobresal vs Universidad de Chile: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Universidad de Chile travel to face Cobresal on Sunday 17 May in the Primera División, with El Cobre the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Cobresal are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 27 matches; Universidad de Chile are 2nd (among the top four) with 51. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cobresal, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nublense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Universidad de Chile, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over U. Catolica, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Universidad de Chile, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Cobresal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cobresal 1.0 xG, Universidad de Chile 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cobresal 20%, draw 24%, Universidad de Chile 56%.
Lower-risk option: Universidad de Chile or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Universidad de Chile to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Universidad de Chile or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cobresal 0–1 Universidad de Chile. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cobresal20%fair 5.12 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.35
Universidad de Chile56%fair 1.78 · @1.94
2.82Expected goals
0.99Cobresal xG
1.82Universidad de Chile xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Cobresal 1.0 – 1.8 Universidad de Chile expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad de Chile to win✗
56%
1.78
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Universidad de Chile or draw✗
80%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.73
Draw no bet
Universidad de Chile (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Cobresal +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Universidad de Chile to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Universidad de Chile ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad de Chile / FT Universidad de Chile✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Cobresal – last 6
LLLLDL
3 May
@ Nublense
0–2
L
13 Apr
@ Universidad de Concepcion
0–1
L
30 Mar
vs U. Catolica
1–3
L
27 Mar
@ Universidad de Concepcion
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Nublense
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ Palestino
2–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Universidad de Chile – last 6
WWLDDL
25 Apr
vs U. Catolica
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ A. Italiano
3–1
W
24 Mar
vs Union La Calera
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs D. La Serena
2–2
D
10 Mar
vs Universidad de Concepcion
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Palestino
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cobresal and Universidad de Chile.
What is the prediction for Cobresal vs Universidad de Chile?
Our pick is Universidad de Chile or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cobresal vs Universidad de Chile?
On our numbers Cobresal have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universidad de Chile 56%.
How many goals will there be in Cobresal vs Universidad de Chile?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cobresal vs Universidad de Chile?
Our predicted score is Cobresal 0–1 Universidad de Chile, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cobresal vs Universidad de Chile?
Cobresal vs Universidad de Chile (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at El Cobre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
