Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultColo Colo to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceColo Colo or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Colo Colo vs Nublense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Colo Colo welcome Nublense to Estadio Monumental David Arellano for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 17 May (22:30 WAT). In the table, Colo Colo are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 27 matches; Nublense are 10th (lower half) with 35. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Colo Colo, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Coquimbo Unido, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nublense, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cobresal, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colo Colo 1.9 xG, Nublense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colo Colo 62%, draw 22%, Nublense 16%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colo Colo 1–0 Nublense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colo Colo62%fair 1.61 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.45
Nublense16%fair 6.32 · @5.00
2.66Expected goals
1.88Colo Colo xG
0.78Nublense xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Colo Colo 1.9 – 0.8 Nublense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colo Colo to win✓
62%
1.61
1.67
Double chance
Colo Colo or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Colo Colo (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Colo Colo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Colo Colo to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Colo Colo ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colo Colo / FT Colo Colo✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Colo Colo – last 6
LLWWWW
14 May
@ Coquimbo Unido
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Palestino
0–1
L
1 Apr
vs Huachipato
1–0
W
25 Mar
@ Concepción
3–1
W
17 Mar
vs Huachipato
2–0
W
16 Feb
vs Union La Calera
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nublense – last 6
WDWWDD
3 May
vs Cobresal
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Everton de Vina
0–0
D
31 Mar
@ Universidad de Concepcion
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs U. Catolica
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Cobresal
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs D. La Serena
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colo Colo and Nublense.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Colo Colo vs Nublense?
On our numbers Colo Colo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nublense 16%.
How many goals will there be in Colo Colo vs Nublense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colo Colo vs Nublense?
Our predicted score is Colo Colo 1–0 Nublense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Colo Colo vs Nublense?
Colo Colo vs Nublense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental David Arellano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
