Huachipato vs Union La Calera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Huachipato v Union La Calera in the Primera División, played at Estadio Huachipato. In the table, Huachipato are 11th, lower half, on 33 points after 26 matches; Union La Calera are 16th (in the drop zone) with 24.
Current form
Huachipato, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Concepción, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Union La Calera, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over U. Catolica, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Huachipato 1.3 xG, Union La Calera 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Huachipato 41%, draw 27%, Union La Calera 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Huachipato 1–1 Union La Calera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Huachipato41%fair 2.41 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.35
Union La Calera31%fair 3.19 · @3.20
2.42Expected goals
1.28Huachipato xG
1.14Union La Calera xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Huachipato 1.3 – 1.1 Union La Calera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Huachipato to win✓
41%
2.41
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Draw no bet
Huachipato (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Union La Calera +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Huachipato to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Huachipato / FT Huachipato✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.06
–
Recent results
Huachipato – last 6
WWWWLL
5 May
@ Concepción
1–0
W
20 Apr
vs A. Italiano
3–2
W
11 Apr
@ O'Higgins
2–0
W
7 Apr
vs Universidad de Concepcion
5–1
W
1 Apr
@ Colo Colo
0–1
L
25 Mar
vs Coquimbo Unido
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Union La Calera – last 6
WWWLDL
21 Apr
@ U. Catolica
2–1
W
14 Apr
vs Concepción
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ Universidad de Chile
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs A. Italiano
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs O'Higgins
3–3
D
6 Mar
@ D. La Serena
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Huachipato and Union La Calera.
What is the prediction for Huachipato vs Union La Calera?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Huachipato vs Union La Calera?
On our numbers Huachipato have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Union La Calera 31%.
How many goals will there be in Huachipato vs Union La Calera?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Huachipato vs Union La Calera?
Our predicted score is Huachipato 1–1 Union La Calera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Huachipato vs Union La Calera?
Huachipato vs Union La Calera (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Huachipato.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.