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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leones FC v Internacional Palmira: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui
Leones FC 28%Draw 29%Internacional Palmira 44% Expected goals 0.99 – 1.30
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultInternacional Palmira to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceInternacional Palmira or draw ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.79

Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Saturday 21 March: Leones FC v Internacional Palmira in the Primera B, played at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui. In the table, Leones FC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Internacional Palmira are 14th (in the drop zone) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Leones FC, last 4: LDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Envigado, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Internacional Palmira, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ind. Yumbo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Internacional Palmira, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Leones FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leones FC 1.0 xG, Internacional Palmira 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leones FC 28%, draw 29%, Internacional Palmira 44%.
  • Lower-risk option: Internacional Palmira or draw (72%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones FC 0–1 Internacional Palmira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leones FC28%fair 3.63 · @3.30
Draw29%fair 3.51 · @3.10
Internacional Palmira44%fair 2.28 · @2.15
2.30Expected goals
0.99Leones FC xG
1.30Internacional Palmira xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Leones FC 1.0 – 1.3 Internacional Palmira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Leones FCInternacional Palmira
Attack vs Primera B average-22%-14%
Goals conceded vs average+31%-4%
Our expected goals here0.861.09

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInternacional Palmira to win ✓44%2.282.15
Double chanceInternacional Palmira or draw ✓72%1.381.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.80
Draw no betInternacional Palmira (draw no bet) ✓61%1.63–
Asian handicapLeones FC +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.481.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreInternacional Palmira to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Internacional Palmira / FT Internacional Palmira ✓25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%11.79–

Recent results

Leones FC – last 4

LDLW
11 Marvs Envigado0–3L
3 Mar@ Depor FC0–0D
27 Febvs Ind. Yumbo0–2L
21 Feb@ Real Cartagena3–2W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Internacional Palmira – last 3

WDD
17 Marvs Ind. Yumbo1–0W
11 Mar@ Real Cartagena2–2D
5 Mar@ Real Soacha2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leones FC and Internacional Palmira.

Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira?

On our numbers Leones FC have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Internacional Palmira 44%.

How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira?

Our predicted score is Leones FC 0–1 Internacional Palmira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira?

Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.