Real Santander 33%Draw 30%Tigres FC 37%Expected goals 0.84 – 1.01
70%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.38
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
2
Value bet: Tigres FC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultTigres FC to win37% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–116% · fair 6.28
Real Santander vs Tigres FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Santander welcome Tigres FC to Estadio Villa Concha for a Primera B fixture on Saturday 21 March (21:00 WAT). In the table, Real Santander are 9th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 15 matches; Tigres FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 5. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Real Santander, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Popayan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Tigres FC, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Depor FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tigres FC, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Real Santander.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Santander 0.8 xG, Tigres FC 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Santander 33%, draw 30%, Tigres FC 37%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Tigres FC to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Santander 0–1 Tigres FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Santander33%fair 3.06 · @2.33
Draw30%fair 3.30 · @2.90
Tigres FC37%fair 2.70 · @3.10
1.85Expected goals
0.84Real Santander xG
1.01Tigres FC xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Real Santander 0.8 – 1.0 Tigres FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Santander
Tigres FC
Attack vs Primera B average
-0%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
-38%
Our expected goals here
0.72
1.02
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres FC to win
37%
2.70
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
70%
1.43
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.53
Draw no bet
Tigres FC (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Real Santander +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Tigres FC to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
16%
6.28
–
Recent results
Real Santander – last 3
DLD
10 Mar
vs Popayan
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Quindio
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Ind. Yumbo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tigres FC – last 6
WWDDLL
16 Mar
vs Depor FC
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Bogota FC
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Patriotas
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Real Cartagena
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Union Magdalena
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Ind. Yumbo
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Santander and Tigres FC.
What is the prediction for Real Santander vs Tigres FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Real Santander vs Tigres FC?
On our numbers Real Santander have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Tigres FC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Real Santander vs Tigres FC?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Santander vs Tigres FC?
Our predicted score is Real Santander 0–1 Tigres FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Real Santander vs Tigres FC?
Real Santander vs Tigres FC (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Villa Concha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
