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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Soacha v Barranquilla: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Municipal de Mosquera
Sat 21 Mar 2026
Real Soacha 57%Draw 25%Barranquilla 18% Expected goals 1.43 – 0.73
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.42

6/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Soacha to win57% · @1.48
Double chanceReal Soacha or draw82% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 6.05

Real Soacha vs Barranquilla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barranquilla travel to face Real Soacha on Saturday 21 March in the Primera B, with Estadio Municipal de Mosquera the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Real Soacha are 4th, among the top four, on 1 points after 3 matches; Barranquilla are 15th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Real Soacha, last 4: DDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Quindio, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Barranquilla, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bogota FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Real Soacha, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Barranquilla.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Soacha 1.4 xG, Barranquilla 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Soacha 57%, draw 25%, Barranquilla 18%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Soacha 1–1 Barranquilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Soacha57%fair 1.76 · @1.48
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.55
Barranquilla18%fair 5.55 · @6.80
2.16Expected goals
1.43Real Soacha xG
0.73Barranquilla xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
1–112%
2–012%
0–012%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Real Soacha 1.4 – 0.7 Barranquilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Real SoachaBarranquilla
Attack vs Primera B average-2%+4%
Goals conceded vs average-23%+19%
Our expected goals here1.350.78

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Soacha to win57%1.761.48
Double chanceReal Soacha or draw82%1.221.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score51%1.961.48
Draw no betReal Soacha (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapBarranquilla +1 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals65%1.551.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals61%1.631.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals81%1.241.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals93%1.07–
First team to scoreReal Soacha to score first59%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Soacha / FT Real Soacha32%3.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017%6.05–

Recent results

Real Soacha – last 4

DDDW
17 Mar@ Quindio0–0D
11 Mar@ Union Magdalena1–1D
5 Marvs Internacional Palmira2–2D
22 Febvs Orsomarso1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Barranquilla – last 5

DLLWL
16 Marvs Bogota FC1–1D
12 Mar@ Ind. Yumbo0–1L
4 Marvs Union Magdalena1–3L
26 Feb@ Popayan2–0W
17 Feb@ Quindio0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Soacha and Barranquilla.

Real Soacha vs Barranquilla head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Soacha vs Barranquilla?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Real Soacha vs Barranquilla?

On our numbers Real Soacha have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barranquilla 18%.

How many goals will there be in Real Soacha vs Barranquilla?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Soacha vs Barranquilla?

Our predicted score is Real Soacha 1–1 Barranquilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Real Soacha vs Barranquilla?

Real Soacha vs Barranquilla (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mosquera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.