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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orsomarso v Ind. Yumbo: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
Sat 21 Mar 2026
Orsomarso 29%Draw 31%Ind. Yumbo 40% Expected goals 0.84 – 1.15
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultInd. Yumbo to win40% · @2.62
Double chanceInd. Yumbo or draw71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 13.14

Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Orsomarso welcome Ind. Yumbo to Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata for a Primera B fixture on Saturday 21 March (23:00 WAT). In the table, Orsomarso are 13th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 15 matches; Ind. Yumbo are 4th (among the top four) with 2. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Orsomarso, last 4: DLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Depor FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Ind. Yumbo, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Internacional Palmira, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ind. Yumbo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Orsomarso.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orsomarso 0.8 xG, Ind. Yumbo 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orsomarso 29%, draw 31%, Ind. Yumbo 40%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ind. Yumbo or draw (71%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orsomarso 0–1 Ind. Yumbo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orsomarso29%fair 3.49 · @2.85
Draw31%fair 3.23 · @2.75
Ind. Yumbo40%fair 2.48 · @2.62
2.00Expected goals
0.84Orsomarso xG
1.15Ind. Yumbo xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Orsomarso 0.8 – 1.2 Ind. Yumbo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

OrsomarsoInd. Yumbo
Attack vs Primera B average-21%+11%
Goals conceded vs average+1%-23%
Our expected goals here0.701.09

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInd. Yumbo to win40%2.482.62 ▲
Double chanceInd. Yumbo or draw71%1.401.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.931.80
Draw no betInd. Yumbo (draw no bet)58%1.71–
Asian handicapOrsomarso +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals64%1.571.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals62%1.611.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals81%1.231.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals95%1.06–
First team to scoreInd. Yumbo to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ind. Yumbo / FT Ind. Yumbo24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%13.14–

Recent results

Orsomarso – last 4

DLLD
11 Mar@ Depor FC1–1D
7 Mar@ Real Cartagena0–4L
22 Feb@ Real Soacha0–1L
18 Feb@ Popayan2–2D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ind. Yumbo – last 6

LWDWDW
17 Mar@ Internacional Palmira0–1L
12 Marvs Barranquilla1–0W
5 Marvs Bogota FC1–1D
27 Feb@ Leones FC2–0W
24 Febvs Real Santander1–1D
16 Feb@ Tigres FC3–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Orsomarso and Ind. Yumbo.

Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo?

On our numbers Orsomarso have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Ind. Yumbo 40%.

How many goals will there be in Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo?

Our predicted score is Orsomarso 0–1 Ind. Yumbo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo?

Orsomarso vs Ind. Yumbo (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.