Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 57% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUniversitario to win ✓73% · @1.25
Double chanceUniversitario or draw ✓91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.10
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.86
Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Universitario welcome UTC Cajamarca to Estadio Monumental for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 15 March (02:30 WAT). In the table, Universitario are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; UTC Cajamarca are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universitario 2.6 xG, UTC Cajamarca 0.9 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universitario 73%, draw 18%, UTC Cajamarca 9%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Universitario to win (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universitario 2–0 UTC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universitario73%fair 1.36 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.65 · @5.00
UTC Cajamarca9%fair 11.19 · @11.00
3.41Expected goals
2.56Universitario xG
0.85UTC Cajamarca xG
57%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Universitario 2.6 – 0.9 UTC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Attack vs Primera División average
+36%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+25%
Our expected goals here
2.96
1.01
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Double chance
Universitario or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Universitario (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Universitario -1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Universitario to score first✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Universitario ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
Universitario – last 2
WW
2 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Cienciano
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
UTC Cajamarca – last 2
DW
22 Feb
@ ADT
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Cusco
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universitario and UTC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Universitario to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Universitario have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and UTC Cajamarca 9%.
How many goals will there be in Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Universitario 2–0 UTC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca?
Universitario vs UTC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
