Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCienciano to win ✓67% · @1.45
Double chanceCienciano or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Saturday 21 March: Cienciano v FC Cajamarca in the Primera División, played at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. In the table, Cienciano are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; FC Cajamarca are 14th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cienciano, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cusco, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
FC Cajamarca, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Comerciantes Unidos, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Cienciano, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for FC Cajamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cienciano 2.3 xG, FC Cajamarca 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cienciano 67%, draw 20%, FC Cajamarca 12%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cienciano 2–0 FC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cienciano67%fair 1.48 · @1.45
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.35
FC Cajamarca12%fair 8.09 · @6.60
3.29Expected goals
2.34Cienciano xG
0.96FC Cajamarca xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Cienciano 2.3 – 1.0 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
Attack vs Primera División average
-4%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
+41%
Our expected goals here
2.38
1.00
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cienciano to win✓
67%
1.48
1.45
Double chance
Cienciano or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Cienciano (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Cienciano -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
First team to score
Cienciano to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Cienciano ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cienciano / FT Cienciano✓
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Cienciano – last 5
WWWDL
16 Mar
@ Cusco
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Sport Boys
3–1
W
28 Feb
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
3–2
W
22 Feb
vs Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Universitario
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
FC Cajamarca – last 4
LLLL
13 Mar
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–4
L
6 Mar
@ Atletico Grau
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Universitario
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Huancayo
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cienciano and FC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Cienciano have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Cajamarca 12%.
How many goals will there be in Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Cienciano 2–0 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca?
Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
