Comerciantes Unidos 26%Draw 25%Universitario 49%Expected goals 1.38 – 1.59
73%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.40
8/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUniversitario to win49% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.17
Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 March the Primera División brings Comerciantes Unidos against Universitario at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Comerciantes Unidos are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Universitario are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Comerciantes Unidos, last 4: WWLD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over FC Cajamarca, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Universitario, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over UTC Cajamarca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Universitario, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Comerciantes Unidos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Comerciantes Unidos 1.4 xG, Universitario 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 50% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Comerciantes Unidos 26%, draw 25%, Universitario 49%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.36, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Comerciantes Unidos26%fair 3.81 · @4.65
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.35
Universitario49%fair 2.06 · @1.80
2.97Expected goals
1.38Comerciantes Unidos xG
1.59Universitario xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 1.4 – 1.6 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Attack vs Primera División average
+2%
+36%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.82
1.55
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win
49%
2.06
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Universitario (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Comerciantes Unidos +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
50%
2.00
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.17
1.07
First team to score
Universitario to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Comerciantes Unidos – last 4
WWLD
13 Mar
@ FC Cajamarca
4–3
W
1 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Cusco
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Universitario – last 3
WWW
15 Mar
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Cienciano
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Comerciantes Unidos and Universitario.
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario?
On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Universitario 49%.
How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario?
Our predicted score is Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario?
Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
