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Club Deportivo Los Chankas v Sporting Cristal: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Municipal Los Chankas
Sat 21 Mar 2026
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 33%Draw 25%Sporting Cristal 42% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.66
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.33

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
2

Value bet: Sporting Cristal to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultSporting Cristal to win42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.78

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Club Deportivo Los Chankas welcome Sporting Cristal to Estadio Municipal Los Chankas for a Primera División fixture on Saturday 21 March (21:30 WAT). In the table, Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 15th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Sporting Cristal are 2nd (among the top four) with 32. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Club Deportivo Los Chankas, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FBC Melgar, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Sporting Cristal, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sport Boys, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1.3 xG, Sporting Cristal 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Club Deportivo Los Chankas 33%, draw 25%, Sporting Cristal 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Sporting Cristal to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 Sporting Cristal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Club Deportivo Los Chankas33%fair 3.01 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.30
Sporting Cristal42%fair 2.37 · @2.60
2.96Expected goals
1.30Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
1.66Sporting Cristal xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%

From our goals model: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1.3 – 1.7 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Club Deportivo Los ChankasSporting Cristal
Attack vs Primera División average-28%+46%
Goals conceded vs average+16%+0%
Our expected goals here1.261.90

Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Cristal to win42%2.372.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.731.73
Draw no betSporting Cristal (draw no bet)56%1.79–
Asian handicapClub Deportivo Los Chankas +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.331.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.922.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.441.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.181.09
First team to scoreSporting Cristal to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal28%3.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.78–

Recent results

Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 3

WWD
27 Feb@ FBC Melgar2–1W
22 Febvs Sport Huancayo3–2W
15 Feb@ Comerciantes Unidos1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sporting Cristal – last 3

WWD
15 Marvs Sport Boys3–0W
4 Mar@ Carabobo FC1–0W
18 Feb@ 2 de Mayo2–2D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Sporting Cristal.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal?

On our numbers Club Deportivo Los Chankas have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sporting Cristal 42%.

How many goals will there be in Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal?

Our predicted score is Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal?

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Los Chankas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.