Alianza Atletico 53%Draw 25%Sport Boys 21%Expected goals 1.47 – 0.95
77%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Atletico to win53% · @1.80
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.95
Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Primera División brings Alianza Atletico against Sport Boys at Estadio Campeones del 36. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Alianza Atletico are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Sport Boys are 8th (upper half) with 26. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alianza Atletico, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to America de Cali, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sport Boys, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FBC Melgar, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Alianza Atletico, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Sport Boys.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Atletico 1.5 xG, Sport Boys 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Atletico 53%, draw 25%, Sport Boys 21%.
Lower-risk option: Alianza Atletico or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Atletico 1–0 Sport Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Atletico53%fair 1.88 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.35
Sport Boys21%fair 4.71 · @4.60
2.42Expected goals
1.47Alianza Atletico xG
0.95Sport Boys xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.5 – 1.0 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys
Attack vs Primera División average
+10%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
-23%
Our expected goals here
1.49
1.18
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win
53%
1.88
1.80
Double chance
Alianza Atletico or draw
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Alianza Atletico (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Sport Boys +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
Alianza Atletico to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Alianza Atletico – last 6
LDWDDD
16 Apr
@ America de Cali
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Tigre
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs ADT
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Cienciano
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Alianza Lima
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sport Boys – last 6
LWLLDL
15 Apr
vs FBC Melgar
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Sport Huancayo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Cristal
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Cienciano
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs UCV Moquegua
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Alianza Lima
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and Sport Boys.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sport Boys 21%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–0 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys?
Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
