FBC Melgar vs Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:15 WAT, Sunday 19 April: FBC Melgar v Universitario in the Primera División, played at Estadio de la UNSA. In the table, FBC Melgar are 5th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Universitario are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FBC Melgar, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sport Boys, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Universitario, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Coquimbo Unido, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Universitario, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for FBC Melgar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FBC Melgar 1.6 xG, Universitario 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FBC Melgar 44%, draw 25%, Universitario 31%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: FBC Melgar 1–1 Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FBC Melgar44%fair 2.26 · @2.34
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.20
Universitario31%fair 3.21 · @3.05
2.80Expected goals
1.61FBC Melgar xG
1.19Universitario xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: FBC Melgar 1.6 – 1.2 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Attack vs Primera División average
+13%
+36%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
+2%
Our expected goals here
2.02
1.28
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBC Melgar to win✓
44%
2.26
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
FBC Melgar (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Universitario +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.06
First team to score
FBC Melgar to score first
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar✓
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
FBC Melgar – last 6
WDDLLW
15 Apr
@ Sport Boys
3–1
W
20 Mar
@ ADT
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Alianza Lima
1–3
L
27 Feb
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs UCV Moquegua
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Universitario – last 6
LDWWWW
15 Apr
vs Coquimbo Unido
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Deportes Tolima
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Alianza Lima
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Cienciano
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FBC Melgar and Universitario.
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar vs Universitario?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FBC Melgar vs Universitario?
On our numbers FBC Melgar have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Universitario 31%.
How many goals will there be in FBC Melgar vs Universitario?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBC Melgar vs Universitario?
Our predicted score is FBC Melgar 1–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FBC Melgar vs Universitario?
FBC Melgar vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la UNSA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
