Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.59
Alianza Lima vs Cusco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Alianza Lima v Cusco in the Primera División, played at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. In the table, Alianza Lima are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Cusco are 10th (lower half) with 24.
Current form
Alianza Lima, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over ADT, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cusco, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Estudiantes L.P., away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alianza Lima, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Cusco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Lima 1.8 xG, Cusco 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Lima 66%, draw 22%, Cusco 12%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Lima 1–0 Cusco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Lima66%fair 1.51 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.35
Cusco12%fair 8.27 · @9.30
2.49Expected goals
1.82Alianza Lima xG
0.66Cusco xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 1.8 – 0.7 Cusco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza Lima
Cusco
Attack vs Primera División average
+7%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.90
0.74
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Lima to win✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Double chance
Alianza Lima or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.62
Draw no bet
Alianza Lima (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Lima -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
Alianza Lima to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Alianza Lima ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.59
–
Recent results
Alianza Lima – last 6
WLWDWW
14 Apr
@ ADT
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Universitario
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
1–1
D
10 Mar
vs FBC Melgar
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Sport Boys
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cusco – last 6
LLLWWL
14 Apr
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Flamengo
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Cienciano
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
23 Feb
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ UTC Cajamarca
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Lima and Cusco.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Cusco?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cusco 12%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Cusco?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Cusco?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 1–0 Cusco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs Cusco?
Alianza Lima vs Cusco (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
