Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSporting Cristal to win73% · @1.38
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw90% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.93
Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Sporting Cristal v UTC Cajamarca in the Primera División, played at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. In the table, Sporting Cristal are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; UTC Cajamarca are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting Cristal, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Palmeiras, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
UTC Cajamarca, last 4: DLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sport Huancayo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Cristal 2.6 xG, UTC Cajamarca 0.9 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Cristal 73%, draw 17%, UTC Cajamarca 10%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Cristal 2–0 UTC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Cristal73%fair 1.37 · @1.38
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @4.40
UTC Cajamarca10%fair 9.93 · @8.30
3.44Expected goals
2.59Sporting Cristal xG
0.85UTC Cajamarca xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
3–09%
2–19%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 2.6 – 0.9 UTC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Attack vs Primera División average
+46%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
+25%
Our expected goals here
3.18
0.99
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win
73%
1.37
1.38
Double chance
Sporting Cristal or draw
90%
1.11
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.83
Draw no bet
Sporting Cristal (draw no bet)
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Cristal -1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.18
First team to score
Sporting Cristal to score first
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Sporting Cristal ahead at half-time
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal
51%
1.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Sporting Cristal – last 6
LWLWWD
16 Apr
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Cerro Porteno
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs UCV Moquegua
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Sport Boys
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Carabobo FC
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ 2 de Mayo
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UTC Cajamarca – last 4
DLDW
15 Apr
vs Sport Huancayo
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Universitario
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ ADT
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Cusco
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Cristal and UTC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and UTC Cajamarca 10%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 2–0 UTC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
