FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 16 May: FBC Melgar v Sport Huancayo in the Primera División, played at Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi. In the table, FBC Melgar are 5th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Sport Huancayo are 1st (leading the league) with 34.
Current form
FBC Melgar, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over UTC Cajamarca, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Sport Huancayo, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo Garcilaso, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FBC Melgar, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Sport Huancayo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FBC Melgar 1.8 xG, Sport Huancayo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FBC Melgar 59%, draw 24%, Sport Huancayo 17%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FBC Melgar 1–1 Sport Huancayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FBC Melgar59%fair 1.68 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @4.10
Sport Huancayo17%fair 5.86 · @6.20
2.82Expected goals
1.83FBC Melgar xG
0.99Sport Huancayo xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: FBC Melgar 1.8 – 1.0 Sport Huancayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
Attack vs Primera División average
+13%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.69
1.07
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBC Melgar to win
59%
1.68
1.50
Double chance
FBC Melgar or draw
83%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.68
1.70
Draw no bet
FBC Melgar (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Sport Huancayo +1.5 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.18
First team to score
FBC Melgar to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
FBC Melgar ahead at half-time
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
FBC Melgar – last 6
WLWWDD
4 May
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–0
W
28 Apr
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Universitario
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Sport Boys
3–1
W
20 Mar
@ ADT
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sport Huancayo – last 6
WDDLLW
18 Apr
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ UTC Cajamarca
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Comerciantes Unidos
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2–3
L
15 Feb
vs FC Cajamarca
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FBC Melgar and Sport Huancayo.
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
On our numbers FBC Melgar have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sport Huancayo 17%.
How many goals will there be in FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
Our predicted score is FBC Melgar 1–1 Sport Huancayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?
FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
