Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 53% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUniversitario to win ✗70% · @1.28
Double chanceUniversitario or draw ✗89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Universitario vs Atletico Grau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Saturday 16 May: Universitario v Atletico Grau in the Primera División, played at Estadio Monumental. In the table, Universitario are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Atletico Grau are 11th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Universitario, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sport Boys, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Atletico Grau, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Sporting Cristal, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universitario 2.0 xG, Atletico Grau 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universitario 70%, draw 19%, Atletico Grau 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universitario 2–0 Atletico Grau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universitario70%fair 1.44 · @1.28
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @4.80
Atletico Grau11%fair 9.06 · @13.00
2.76Expected goals
2.02Universitario xG
0.74Atletico Grau xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–16%
From our goals model: Universitario 2.0 – 0.7 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Universitario
Atletico Grau
Attack vs Primera División average
+36%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-3%
Our expected goals here
2.30
0.97
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win✗
70%
1.44
1.28
Double chance
Universitario or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
Universitario (draw no bet)✗
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Universitario -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
First team to score
Universitario to score first✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Universitario ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Universitario – last 6
DLWLWL
12 May
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
8 May
@ Coquimbo Unido
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Club Nacional
4–2
W
27 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
4–1
W
19 Apr
@ FBC Melgar
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atletico Grau – last 6
WLDWLL
22 Apr
vs Sporting Cristal
4–1
W
17 Apr
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ FBC Melgar
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universitario and Atletico Grau.
What is the prediction for Universitario vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Universitario vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers Universitario have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atletico Grau 11%.
How many goals will there be in Universitario vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universitario vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is Universitario 2–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Universitario vs Atletico Grau?
Universitario vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
