Juan Pablo II College 46%Draw 23%Alianza Atletico 31%Expected goals 1.82 – 1.19
75%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.35
8/10Rating
1.35Odds
1
Value bet: Juan Pablo II College to win @ 2.54 – our chance 46% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultJuan Pablo II College to win46% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.29
Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza Atletico travel to face Juan Pablo II College on Saturday 16 May in the Primera División, with Estadio Municipal de la Juventud the venue – the ball rolls at 21:15 WAT. In the table, Juan Pablo II College are 9th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Alianza Atletico are 7th (upper half) with 28. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Juan Pablo II College, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sport Boys, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Alianza Atletico, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportivo Garcilaso, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Juan Pablo II College, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.5 for Alianza Atletico.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juan Pablo II College 1.8 xG, Alianza Atletico 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juan Pablo II College 46%, draw 23%, Alianza Atletico 31%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Juan Pablo II College to win @2.54 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juan Pablo II College 1–1 Alianza Atletico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juan Pablo II College46%fair 2.18 · @2.54
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.30
Alianza Atletico31%fair 3.25 · @2.70
3.00Expected goals
1.82Juan Pablo II College xG
1.19Alianza Atletico xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Juan Pablo II College 1.8 – 1.2 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
Attack vs Primera División average
+10%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
+20%
Our expected goals here
2.30
1.10
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juan Pablo II College to win
46%
2.18
2.54 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.67
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Juan Pablo II College (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Atletico +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.18
1.08
First team to score
Juan Pablo II College to score first
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juan Pablo II College / FT Juan Pablo II College
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Juan Pablo II College – last 5
DLLWW
26 Apr
@ Sport Boys
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ UCV Moquegua
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ Alianza Lima
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ ADT
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Atletico Grau
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Alianza Atletico – last 6
LLLWLL
11 May
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
1–2
L
7 May
vs America de Cali
0–2
L
1 May
vs Macara
0–2
L
27 Apr
@ Universitario
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Comerciantes Unidos
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ America de Cali
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juan Pablo II College and Alianza Atletico.
What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?
On our numbers Juan Pablo II College have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alianza Atletico 31%.
How many goals will there be in Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?
Our predicted score is Juan Pablo II College 1–1 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico?
Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Atletico (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de la Juventud.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
