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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Canada v Iceland: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · BMO Field

Iceland

Canada 59%Draw 26%Iceland 15% Expected goals 1.65 – 0.75

74%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.33

8/10Rating

1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultCanada to win59% · @1.55

Double chanceCanada or draw85% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.93

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.80

Canada vs Iceland: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Canada welcome Iceland to BMO Field for a Friendlies fixture on Saturday 28 March (18:00 WAT).

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Canada 1.6 xG, Iceland 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Canada 59%, draw 26%, Iceland 15%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Canada 1–0 Iceland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Canada59%fair 1.70 · @1.55

Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.95

Iceland15%fair 6.52 · @5.90

2.40Expected goals

1.65Canada xG

0.75Iceland xG

53%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

2–012%

1–111%

2–19%

0–09%

0–17%

From our goals model: Canada 1.6 – 0.8 Iceland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Canada	Iceland
Attack vs Friendlies average	-18%	-13%
Goals conceded vs average	-36%	+1%
Our expected goals here	1.41	0.68

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Canada to win	59%	1.70	1.55
Double chance	Canada or draw	85%	1.18	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	53%	1.90	1.93
Draw no bet	Canada (draw no bet)	79%	1.26	–
Asian handicap	Iceland +1.5 (Asian handicap)	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	71%	1.40	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	53%	1.88	1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	74%	1.34	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	88%	1.14	1.11
First team to score	Canada to score first	62%	1.60	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	44%	2.29	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Canada / FT Canada	36%	2.76	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	9%	10.80	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Canada and Iceland.

Canada vs Iceland head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub

Argentina2

Mauritania1 179%1.02X14%13.0027%76.00 3.3–1.0xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✗

Thailand U231

Vietnam U230 137%2.25X25%3.20237%2.95 1.4–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.35 ✗

China PR U231

Korea DPR U231 140%2.30X23%3.00237%2.75 1.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.80 ✓

–

South Korea0

Ivory Coast2 130%2.80X38%3.10232%2.38 1.1–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25

–

San Marino1

Faroe Islands1 110%17.00X20%5.00270%1.22 0.8–2.2xG 2Faroe Islands to win 70%@1.22

–

Senegal

Peru 166%1.50X22%3.80213%7.00 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.33

–

Scotland

Japan 126%3.00X37%3.25237%2.32 1.1–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28

–

Hungary

Slovenia 152%1.78X26%3.60222%4.40 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Canada vs Iceland?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Canada vs Iceland?

On our numbers Canada have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Iceland 15%.

How many goals will there be in Canada vs Iceland?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Canada vs Iceland?

Our predicted score is Canada 1–0 Iceland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Canada vs Iceland?

Canada vs Iceland (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.