17:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Senegal v Peru in the Friendlies, played at Stade de France.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Senegal 2.0 xG, Peru 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Senegal 66%, draw 22%, Peru 13%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Senegal 2–0 Peru. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Senegal66%fair 1.53 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.80
Peru13%fair 7.79 · @7.00
2.77Expected goals
1.99Senegal xG
0.78Peru xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Senegal 2.0 – 0.8 Peru expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Senegal
Peru
Attack vs Friendlies average
+1%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+21%
Our expected goals here
2.09
0.84
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Senegal to win
66%
1.53
1.50
Double chance
Senegal or draw
87%
1.15
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Senegal (draw no bet)
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Senegal -0.5 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.17
1.10
First team to score
Senegal to score first
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Senegal ahead at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Senegal / FT Senegal
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Senegal
No recent results on record.
Peru
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Senegal and Peru.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Senegal vs Peru?
On our numbers Senegal have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Peru 13%.
How many goals will there be in Senegal vs Peru?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Senegal vs Peru?
Our predicted score is Senegal 2–0 Peru, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Senegal vs Peru?
Senegal vs Peru (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de France.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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